Combat Edge Intelligence

Archie Colgan vs Sidney Outlaw

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

13-1-0Record23-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'8"
70"Reach76"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Genesis Training AcademyTeamDante Rivera BJJ· 1664 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Archie ColganNow 1734
If they win+16→ 1750
If they lose-16→ 1718
Sidney OutlawNow 1735
If they win+12→ 1747
If they lose-12→ 1723

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1604 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1646 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.13
TBD
Strike accuracy
33%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.80
TBD
Strike defense
71%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
3

Trajectory

Archie ColganSidney Outlaw
17001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (38%)
KO/TKO
1 (4%)
1 (8%)
Submission
11 (48%)
7 (54%)
Decision
11 (48%)

Combat Edge model read

Sidney Outlaw61%
Archie Colgan 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Sidney Outlaw a 61% favorite over Archie Colgan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1734 vs 1735), separated by just 1 points.

Sidney Outlaw enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Archie Colgan finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Sidney Outlaw 52%.

Sidney Outlaw carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.