Archie Colgan vs Tofiq Musayev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-1-0Record24-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
70"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1750
If they lose-16→ 1718
If they win+12→ 1746
If they lose-12→ 1722
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1604 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Archie ColganTofiq Musayev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Archie Colgan and Tofiq Musayev within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1734 vs 1734), separated by just 0 points.
Tofiq Musayev enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Archie Colgan finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Tofiq Musayev 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.