Combat Edge Intelligence

Ariane Lipski da Silva vs Barb Honchak

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Barb Honchak
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Barb Honchak

“Little Warrior”

10-4-0FlyweightUFC

1630Solid

Tale of the tape

18-12-0Record10-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'4"
67"Reach37,0"
125 lbsWeight124 lbs
Lioness MMATeamMiletich Fighting Systems

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ariane Lipski da SilvaNow 1634
If they win+12→ 1646
If they lose-12→ 1622
Barb HonchakNow 1630
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1635 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1555 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.05
Sig. strikes / min
4.04
41%
Strike accuracy
30%
4.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.67
51%
Strike defense
66%
0.47
Takedown avg.
0
38%
Takedown accuracy
0%
68%
Takedown defense
0%
0.28
Submission avg.
1.27

Trajectory

Ariane Lipski da SilvaBarb Honchak
1650201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (33%)
KO/TKO
1 (10%)
4 (22%)
Submission
2 (20%)
8 (44%)
Decision
7 (70%)

Combat Edge model read

Ariane Lipski da Silva79%
Barb Honchak 21%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Ariane Lipski da Silva a 79% favorite over Barb Honchak in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1634 vs 1630), separated by just 4 points.

Barb Honchak enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ariane Lipski da Silva finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Barb Honchak 30%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.