Combat Edge Intelligence

Ariane Lipski da Silva vs Jasmine Jasudavicius

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-12-0Record15-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
67"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight133 lbs
Lioness MMATeamNiagara Top Team

What's at stake

Jasmine Jasudavicius is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Ariane Lipski da Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ariane Lipski da SilvaNow 1634
If they win+15→ 1649
If they lose-9→ 1625
Jasmine JasudaviciusNow 1719
If they win+12→ 1731
If they lose-20→ 1699

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1636 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.05
Sig. strikes / min
3.47
41%
Strike accuracy
44%
4.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.46
51%
Strike defense
52%
0.47
Takedown avg.
2.63
38%
Takedown accuracy
3%
68%
Takedown defense
75%
0.28
Submission avg.
0.54

Trajectory

Ariane Lipski da SilvaJasmine Jasudavicius
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (33%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
4 (22%)
Submission
4 (27%)
8 (44%)
Decision
9 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Jasmine Jasudavicius71%
Ariane Lipski da Silva 29%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Jasmine Jasudavicius a 71% favorite over Ariane Lipski da Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Jasmine Jasudavicius holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1719 to 1634, a 85-point edge.

Ariane Lipski da Silva finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Jasmine Jasudavicius 40%.

Ariane Lipski da Silva and Jasmine Jasudavicius share 1 common opponent: Priscila Cachoeira.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossTKO · 2022
Priscila Cachoeira
WinSubmission · 2024