Combat Edge Intelligence

Ariane Lipski da Silva vs Veronika Smolková

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-12-0Record10-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'4"
67"Reach63"
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
Lioness MMATeamDracula Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ariane Lipski da SilvaNow 1634
If they win+12→ 1646
If they lose-12→ 1622
Veronika SmolkováNow 1643
If they win+16→ 1659
If they lose-16→ 1627

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1636 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.05
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
41%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
51%
Strike defense
TBD
0.47
Takedown avg.
TBD
38%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
68%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.28
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ariane Lipski da SilvaVeronika Smolková
14501500155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (33%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
4 (22%)
Submission
2 (20%)
8 (44%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ariane Lipski da Silva and Veronika Smolková within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1634 vs 1643), separated by just 9 points.

Veronika Smolková enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Ariane Lipski da Silva finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Veronika Smolková 70%.

Ariane Lipski da Silva carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.