Combat Edge Intelligence

Ariel Beck vs Shana Dobson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Ariel Beck
us

Ariel Beck

“Sunshine”

4-5-0FlyweightUFC

1464Average

Tale of the tape

4-5-0Record4-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'6"
38,0"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
TBDTeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

Shana Dobson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Ariel Beck carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Ariel BeckNow 1464
If they win+27→ 1491
If they lose-21→ 1443
Shana DobsonNow 1506
If they win+21→ 1527
If they lose-27→ 1479

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1497 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.44
Sig. strikes / min
3.34
34%
Strike accuracy
38%
4.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.20
64%
Strike defense
50%
0
Takedown avg.
0.84
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
0%
Takedown defense
14%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ariel BeckShana Dobson
1450150015502015201620172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

2 (67%)
KO/TKO
2 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (33%)
Decision
2 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Shana Dobson60%
Ariel Beck 40%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Shana Dobson a 60% favorite over Ariel Beck in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Shana Dobson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1506 to 1464, a 42-point edge.

Ariel Beck enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ariel Beck finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Shana Dobson 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.