Ariel Beck vs Valentina Scatizzi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-5-0Record3-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'4"
38,0"Reach64"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
TeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
Valentina Scatizzi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Ariel Beck carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1489
If they lose-23→ 1441
If they win+23→ 1504
If they lose-25→ 1456
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1497 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ariel BeckValentina Scatizzi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Valentina Scatizzi52%
Ariel Beck 48%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Valentina Scatizzi a 52% favorite over Ariel Beck in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Valentina Scatizzi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1481 to 1464, a 17-point edge.
Ariel Beck enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Valentina Scatizzi enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ariel Beck finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Valentina Scatizzi 33%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.