Ariel Gandulla vs Marcio Alexandre Junior
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
7-9-0Record16-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Franco Kickboxing and PankrationTeamAstra Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1473
If they lose-16→ 1441
If they win+23→ 1490
If they lose-25→ 1442
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ariel GandullaMarcio Alexandre Junior
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcio Alexandre Junior60%
Ariel Gandulla 40%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcio Alexandre Junior a 60% favorite over Ariel Gandulla in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1457 vs 1467), separated by just 10 points.
Ariel Gandulla enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Marcio Alexandre Junior enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ariel Gandulla finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Marcio Alexandre Junior 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.