Combat Edge Intelligence

Ariel Gandulla vs Ondřej Raška

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-9-0Record12-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Franco Kickboxing and PankrationTeamJetsaam Gym Brno

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ariel GandullaNow 1457
If they win+16→ 1473
If they lose-16→ 1441
Ondřej RaškaNow 1466
If they win+16→ 1482
If they lose-16→ 1450

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1499 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.95
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
23%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
73%
Strike defense
TBD
1.88
Takedown avg.
TBD
67%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ariel GandullaOndřej Raška
1450150020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
2 (29%)
Submission
5 (42%)
2 (29%)
Decision
4 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Ondřej Raška70%
Ariel Gandulla 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Ondřej Raška a 70% favorite over Ariel Gandulla in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1457 vs 1466), separated by just 9 points.

Ariel Gandulla enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ariel Gandulla finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Ondřej Raška 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.