Ariel Gandulla vs Ryan Parker
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-9-0Record4-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
What's at stake
Ryan Parker is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Ariel Gandulla carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1474
If they lose-15→ 1442
If they win+15→ 1491
If they lose-17→ 1459
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ariel GandullaRyan Parker
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryan Parker57%
Ariel Gandulla 43%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Parker a 57% favorite over Ariel Gandulla in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Ryan Parker holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1476 to 1457, a 19-point edge.
Ariel Gandulla enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ryan Parker enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ariel Gandulla finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Parker 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.