Combat Edge Intelligence

Arijan Topallaj vs David Kozma

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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David Kozma
cz

David Kozma

“Pink Panther”

34-15-0WelterweightOKMMA

1652Good

Tale of the tape

10-2-1Record34-15-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
-Reach-
163 lbsWeight171 lbs
Planet EaterTeamPriMMAt Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Arijan TopallajNow 1651
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635
David KozmaNow 1652
If they win+12→ 1664
If they lose-12→ 1640

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1554 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Arijan TopallajDavid Kozma
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
8 (24%)
3 (30%)
Submission
13 (38%)
2 (20%)
Decision
13 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Arijan Topallaj and David Kozma within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1651 vs 1652), separated by just 1 points.

Arijan Topallaj enters on a 3-fight win streak.

David Kozma enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Arijan Topallaj finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, David Kozma 62%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.