Arijan Topallaj vs Forrest Petz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-2-1Record26-10-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
163 lbsWeight185 lbs
Planet Eater· 1649 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamStrong Style Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635
If they win+12→ 1662
If they lose-12→ 1638
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Arijan TopallajForrest Petz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Arijan Topallaj71%
Forrest Petz 29%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Arijan Topallaj a 71% favorite over Forrest Petz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1651 vs 1650), separated by just 1 points.
Arijan Topallaj enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Arijan Topallaj finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Forrest Petz 65%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.