Arijan Topallaj vs Muslim Tulshaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-2-1Record14-4-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'3"
-Reach78.7"
163 lbsWeight170 lbs
Planet Eater· 1637 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamSpitfire Gym Berlin· 1611 avg Elo · 9 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1672
If they lose-16→ 1640
If they win+16→ 1671
If they lose-16→ 1639
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Arijan TopallajMuslim Tulshaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Arijan Topallaj55%
Muslim Tulshaev 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Arijan Topallaj a 55% favorite over Muslim Tulshaev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1656 vs 1655), separated by just 1 points.
Arijan Topallaj enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Arijan Topallaj finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Muslim Tulshaev 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.