AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Arijan Topallaj vs Yohan Lainesse

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-2-1Record11-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'1"
-Reach76"
163 lbsWeight170 lbs
Planet Eater· 1648 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamBrazilian Top Team Canada

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Arijan TopallajNow 1654
If they win+16→ 1670
If they lose-16→ 1638
Yohan LainesseNow 1655
If they win+16→ 1671
If they lose-16→ 1639

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1588 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.22
Not available
Strike accuracy
41%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.38
Not available
Strike defense
59%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.94
Not available
Takedown accuracy
29%
Not available
Takedown defense
73%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.47

Trajectory

Arijan TopallajYohan Lainesse
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (50%)
KO/TKO
7 (64%)
3 (30%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (20%)
Decision
4 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Arijan Topallaj63%
Yohan Lainesse 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Arijan Topallaj a 63% favorite over Yohan Lainesse in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Yohan Lainesse's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1654 vs 1655), separated by just 1 points.

Arijan Topallaj enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Yohan Lainesse enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Arijan Topallaj finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Yohan Lainesse 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.