Combat Edge Intelligence

Aristides Vinícius vs Charles Rosa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Charles Rosa
us

Charles Rosa

“Boston Strong”

19-8-0Featherweight

1666Good

Tale of the tape

12-3-1Record19-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'10"
68"Reach69"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
CT Carrasco LimaTeamAmerican Combat Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aristides ViníciusNow 1668
If they win+16→ 1684
If they lose-16→ 1652
Charles RosaNow 1666
If they win+12→ 1678
If they lose-12→ 1654

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1515 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.08
TBD
Strike accuracy
36%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.86
TBD
Strike defense
47%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.67
TBD
Takedown accuracy
35%
TBD
Takedown defense
38%
TBD
Submission avg.
1

Trajectory

Aristides ViníciusCharles Rosa
165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
5 (26%)
8 (67%)
Submission
11 (58%)
1 (8%)
Decision
3 (16%)

Combat Edge model read

Aristides Vinícius71%
Charles Rosa 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Aristides Vinícius a 71% favorite over Charles Rosa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1668 vs 1666), separated by just 2 points.

Aristides Vinícius enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Charles Rosa enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Aristides Vinícius finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Charles Rosa 84%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.