Combat Edge Intelligence

Aristides Vinícius vs Gavin Tucker

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-3-1Record13-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'7"
68"Reach66"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
CT Carrasco LimaTeamTitans MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aristides ViníciusNow 1668
If they win+16→ 1684
If they lose-16→ 1652
Gavin TuckerNow 1668
If they win+16→ 1684
If they lose-16→ 1652

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1515 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.29
TBD
Strike accuracy
45%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.18
TBD
Strike defense
57%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.13
TBD
Takedown accuracy
44%
TBD
Takedown defense
54%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.46

Trajectory

Aristides ViníciusGavin Tucker
16501700202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
4 (31%)
8 (67%)
Submission
6 (46%)
1 (8%)
Decision
3 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Aristides Vinícius70%
Gavin Tucker 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Aristides Vinícius a 70% favorite over Gavin Tucker in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1668 vs 1668), separated by just 0 points.

Aristides Vinícius enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Gavin Tucker enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Aristides Vinícius finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Gavin Tucker 77%.

Aristides Vinícius carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.