Aristides Vinícius vs Javier Reyes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-3-1Record23-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'10"
68"Reach73"
146 lbsWeight146 lbs
CT Carrasco LimaTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1696
If they lose-16→ 1664
If they win+12→ 1690
If they lose-12→ 1666
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Aristides ViníciusJavier Reyes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Javier Reyes54%
Aristides Vinícius 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Javier Reyes a 54% favorite over Aristides Vinícius in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Aristides Vinícius's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1680 vs 1678), separated by just 2 points.
Aristides Vinícius enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Aristides Vinícius finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Javier Reyes 83%.
Javier Reyes carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.