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Combat Edge Intelligence

Aristides Vinícius vs Gabriel Santos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

12-3-1Record12-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'9"
68"Reach70"
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
CT Carrasco LimaTeamBrazilian TKO· 1639 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aristides ViníciusNow 1680
If they win+16→ 1696
If they lose-16→ 1664
Gabriel SantosNow 1678
If they win+16→ 1694
If they lose-16→ 1662

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1545 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1666 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.69
Not available
Strike accuracy
60%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.77
Not available
Strike defense
48%
Not available
Takedown avg.
3.44
Not available
Takedown accuracy
53%
Not available
Takedown defense
86%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.77

Trajectory

Aristides ViníciusGabriel Santos
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
8 (67%)
Submission
5 (42%)
1 (8%)
Decision
4 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Aristides Vinícius and Gabriel Santos within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1680 vs 1678), separated by just 2 points.

Aristides Vinícius enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Gabriel Santos enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Aristides Vinícius finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Gabriel Santos 67%.

Gabriel Santos carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.