Combat Edge Intelligence

Arkadiusz Wrzosek vs Dave Herman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record22-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'7"Height6'4"
82"ReachTBD
243 lbsWeight223 lbs
Uniq Fight ClubTeamTeam Quest

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Arkadiusz WrzosekNow 1610
If they win+24→ 1634
If they lose-24→ 1586
Dave HermanNow 1609
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1546 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1626 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.98
TBD
Strike accuracy
61%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.78
TBD
Strike defense
49%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.49
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
TBD
Takedown defense
58%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Arkadiusz WrzosekDave Herman
16001650201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (71%)
KO/TKO
17 (77%)
1 (14%)
Submission
3 (14%)
1 (14%)
Decision
2 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Arkadiusz Wrzosek60%
Dave Herman 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Arkadiusz Wrzosek a 60% favorite over Dave Herman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1609), separated by just 1 points.

Arkadiusz Wrzosek finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Dave Herman 91%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.