Combat Edge Intelligence

Arkadiusz Wrzosek vs Don Frye

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Don Frye
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Don Frye

“The Predator”

20-9-1HeavyweightGC

1609Solid

Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record20-9-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'7"Height6'1"
82"Reach73"
243 lbsWeight210 lbs
Uniq Fight ClubTeamTeam Frye

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Arkadiusz WrzosekNow 1610
If they win+24→ 1634
If they lose-24→ 1586
Don FryeNow 1609
If they win+12→ 1621
If they lose-12→ 1597

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1546 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.87
TBD
Strike accuracy
65%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.57
TBD
Strike defense
37%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.91
TBD
Takedown accuracy
57%
TBD
Takedown defense
45%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.68

Trajectory

Arkadiusz WrzosekDon Frye
1600165020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (71%)
KO/TKO
8 (42%)
1 (14%)
Submission
10 (53%)
1 (14%)
Decision
1 (5%)

Combat Edge model read

Arkadiusz Wrzosek60%
Don Frye 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Arkadiusz Wrzosek a 60% favorite over Don Frye in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1609), separated by just 1 points.

Don Frye enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Arkadiusz Wrzosek finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Don Frye 95%.

Arkadiusz Wrzosek carries a 9-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.