Combat Edge Intelligence

Arkadiusz Wrzosek vs Jon Madsen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record8-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'7"Height6'0"
82"ReachTBD
243 lbsWeight222 lbs
Uniq Fight ClubTeamHIT Squad

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Arkadiusz WrzosekNow 1612
If they win+24→ 1636
If they lose-24→ 1588
Jon MadsenNow 1610
If they win+24→ 1634
If they lose-24→ 1586

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1548 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1573 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.46
TBD
Strike accuracy
41%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.18
TBD
Strike defense
81%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.32
TBD
Takedown accuracy
71%
TBD
Takedown defense
70%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Arkadiusz WrzosekJon Madsen
16001650201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (71%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
1 (14%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (14%)
Decision
4 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Arkadiusz Wrzosek66%
Jon Madsen 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Arkadiusz Wrzosek a 66% favorite over Jon Madsen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1610), separated by just 2 points.

Arkadiusz Wrzosek finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Jon Madsen 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.