Combat Edge Intelligence

Arkadiusz Wrzosek vs Tai Tuivasa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tai Tuivasa
au

Tai Tuivasa

“Bam Bam”

14-10-0HeavyweightUFC

1611Solid

Tale of the tape

7-2-0Record14-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'7"Height6'2"
82"Reach75"
243 lbsWeight265 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Arkadiusz WrzosekNow 1610
If they win+24→ 1634
If they lose-24→ 1586
Tai TuivasaNow 1611
If they win+16→ 1627
If they lose-16→ 1595

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1546 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.37
TBD
Strike accuracy
49%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.61
TBD
Strike defense
43%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
59%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Arkadiusz WrzosekTai Tuivasa
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (71%)
KO/TKO
13 (93%)
1 (14%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (14%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Arkadiusz Wrzosek and Tai Tuivasa within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1611), separated by just 1 points.

Tai Tuivasa enters on a 7-fight loss streak.

Arkadiusz Wrzosek finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Tai Tuivasa 93%.

Arkadiusz Wrzosek carries a 7-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.