Arley Figueiredo vs Daijiro Matsui
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-5-0Record16-31-7
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
TBDHeight5'9"
TBDReachTBD
TBDWeight185 lbs
TBDTeamFreelance· 1552 avg Elo · 8 rated
What's at stake
Arley Figueiredo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Daijiro Matsui carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1462
If they lose-17→ 1430
If they win+13→ 1437
If they lose-11→ 1413
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1492 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Arley FigueiredoDaijiro Matsui
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Arley Figueiredo57%
Daijiro Matsui 43%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Arley Figueiredo a 57% favorite over Daijiro Matsui in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Arley Figueiredo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1447 to 1424, a 23-point edge.
Daijiro Matsui enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Daijiro Matsui 29%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.