Arley Figueiredo vs John Renken
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-5-0Record18-28-4
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
TBDHeight5'10"
TBDReachTBD
TBDWeight182 lbs
TBDTeamUSCAA
What's at stake
Arley Figueiredo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — John Renken carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1462
If they lose-17→ 1430
If they win+13→ 1443
If they lose-11→ 1419
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1492 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Arley FigueiredoJohn Renken
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Arley Figueiredo55%
John Renken 45%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Arley Figueiredo a 55% favorite over John Renken in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Arley Figueiredo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1447 to 1430, a 17-point edge.
John Renken enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
John Renken 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.