Arley Figueiredo vs Wayne Cole
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-5-0Record16-25-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
TBDHeight6'1"
TBDReachTBD
TBDWeight185 lbs
TBDTeam
What's at stake
Arley Figueiredo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Wayne Cole carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1459
If they lose-20→ 1427
If they win+15→ 1383
If they lose-9→ 1359
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1492 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Arley FigueiredoWayne Cole
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Arley Figueiredo62%
Wayne Cole 38%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Arley Figueiredo a 62% favorite over Wayne Cole in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Arley Figueiredo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1447 to 1368, a 79-point edge.
Wayne Cole enters on a 10-fight loss streak.
Wayne Cole 94%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.