Arlind Berisha vs Luke Fernandez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-0-0Record6-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'6"Height6'2"
-Reach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Sarpsborg Chi MMA & KickboxingTeamDante Rivera BJJ· 1678 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1640
If they lose-24→ 1592
If they win+24→ 1637
If they lose-24→ 1589
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1480 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Arlind BerishaLuke Fernandez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luke Fernandez53%
Arlind Berisha 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Luke Fernandez a 53% favorite over Arlind Berisha in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Arlind Berisha's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1616 vs 1613), separated by just 3 points.
Arlind Berisha enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Arlind Berisha finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Luke Fernandez 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.