Combat Edge Intelligence

Arman Tsarukyan vs Christos Giagos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-3-0Record20-12-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'10"
72"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamBlack House

What's at stake

Arman Tsarukyan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Christos Giagos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Arman TsarukyanNow 1838
If they win+5→ 1843
If they lose-19→ 1819
Christos GiagosNow 1611
If they win+19→ 1630
If they lose-5→ 1606

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1726 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1676 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.85
Sig. strikes / min
3.03
50%
Strike accuracy
42%
1.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.21
55%
Strike defense
51%
3.26
Takedown avg.
2.84
4%
Takedown accuracy
37%
75%
Takedown defense
52%
0.10
Submission avg.
0.39

Trajectory

Arman TsarukyanChristos Giagos
1600170018002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (39%)
KO/TKO
8 (40%)
6 (26%)
Submission
4 (20%)
8 (35%)
Decision
8 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Arman Tsarukyan92%
Christos Giagos 8%Elo baseline: 79%

The Combat Edge model makes Arman Tsarukyan a 92% favorite over Christos Giagos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (79%).

Arman Tsarukyan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1838 to 1611, a 227-point edge.

Arman Tsarukyan enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Christos Giagos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Arman Tsarukyan finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Christos Giagos 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.