Arman Tsarukyan vs Ilia Topuria
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
24-3-0Record17-1-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'8"
72"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
American Top TeamTeamCliment Club· 1712 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Arman Tsarukyan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Ilia Topuria carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1859
If they lose-13→ 1835
If they win+17→ 1847
If they lose-15→ 1815
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1737 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1758 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Arman TsarukyanIlia Topuria
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ilia Topuria57%
Arman Tsarukyan 43%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Ilia Topuria a 57% favorite over Arman Tsarukyan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Arman Tsarukyan's way (47%).
Arman Tsarukyan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1848 to 1830, a 18-point edge.
Arman Tsarukyan enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Arman Tsarukyan finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Ilia Topuria 88%.
Arman Tsarukyan and Ilia Topuria share 1 common opponent: Charles Oliveira.
Arman Tsarukyan carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.