Combat Edge Intelligence

Arman Tsarukyan vs Joaquim Silva

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-3-0Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'8"
72"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Arman Tsarukyan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Joaquim Silva carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Arman TsarukyanNow 1838
If they win+6→ 1844
If they lose-18→ 1820
Joaquim SilvaNow 1650
If they win+24→ 1674
If they lose-8→ 1642

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1726 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1677 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.85
Sig. strikes / min
3.66
50%
Strike accuracy
43%
1.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.53
55%
Strike defense
53%
3.26
Takedown avg.
0.39
38%
Takedown accuracy
50%
75%
Takedown defense
69%
0.10
Submission avg.
0.78

Trajectory

Arman TsarukyanJoaquim Silva
16501700175018001850202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (39%)
KO/TKO
7 (50%)
6 (26%)
Submission
3 (21%)
8 (35%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Arman Tsarukyan92%
Joaquim Silva 8%Elo baseline: 75%

The Combat Edge model makes Arman Tsarukyan a 92% favorite over Joaquim Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).

Arman Tsarukyan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1838 to 1650, a 188-point edge.

Arman Tsarukyan enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Arman Tsarukyan finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Joaquim Silva 71%.

Arman Tsarukyan carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.