Arman Tsarukyan vs Max Holloway
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-3-0Record28-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'11"
72"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamGracie Technics
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1850
If they lose-12→ 1826
If they win+12→ 1842
If they lose-12→ 1818
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1728 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1791 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Arman TsarukyanMax Holloway
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Arman Tsarukyan60%
Max Holloway 40%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Arman Tsarukyan a 60% favorite over Max Holloway in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1838 vs 1830), separated by just 8 points.
Arman Tsarukyan enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Arman Tsarukyan finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Max Holloway 54%.
Arman Tsarukyan and Max Holloway share 1 common opponent: Charles Oliveira.
Arman Tsarukyan carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.