Arman Tsarukyan vs Max Holloway
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-3-0Record28-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'11"
72"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Top TeamTeamGracie Technics
What's at stake
Arman Tsarukyan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Max Holloway carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1859
If they lose-13→ 1835
If they win+13→ 1843
If they lose-11→ 1819
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1737 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1791 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Arman TsarukyanMax Holloway
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Arman Tsarukyan54%
Max Holloway 46%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Arman Tsarukyan a 54% favorite over Max Holloway in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Arman Tsarukyan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1848 to 1830, a 18-point edge.
Arman Tsarukyan enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Arman Tsarukyan finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Max Holloway 54%.
Arman Tsarukyan and Max Holloway share 1 common opponent: Charles Oliveira.
Arman Tsarukyan carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.