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Combat Edge Intelligence

Armando Villarreal vs Nic Ouellet

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-2-0Record7-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"HeightTBD
TBDReach-
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Blitz Sport MMATeamPowell River BJJ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Armando VillarrealNow 1570
If they win+24→ 1594
If they lose-24→ 1546
Nic OuelletNow 1569
If they win+16→ 1585
If they lose-16→ 1553

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1525 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.23
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
56%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.30
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
52%
Strike defense
Not available
3.23
Takedown avg.
Not available
25%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
0%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Armando VillarrealNic Ouellet
1500155016002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
2 (40%)
Submission
5 (71%)
2 (40%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Nic Ouellet59%
Armando Villarreal 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nic Ouellet a 59% favorite over Armando Villarreal in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Armando Villarreal's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1570 vs 1569), separated by just 1 points.

Nic Ouellet enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Armando Villarreal finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Nic Ouellet 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.