Combat Edge Intelligence

Armando Villarreal vs Thomas Paull

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Thomas Paull

Thomas Paull

“Juggernaut”

12-5-0FeatherweightCWFC

1570Solid

Tale of the tape

5-2-0Record12-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'7"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Blitz Sport MMATeamTeam Underground MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Armando VillarrealNow 1570
If they win+24→ 1594
If they lose-24→ 1546
Thomas PaullNow 1570
If they win+16→ 1586
If they lose-16→ 1554

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1525 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.23
Sig. strikes / min
7.33
56%
Strike accuracy
33%
4.30
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.67
52%
Strike defense
65%
3.23
Takedown avg.
0
25%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Armando VillarrealThomas Paull
15501600201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
11 (92%)
2 (40%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (40%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Armando Villarreal56%
Thomas Paull 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Armando Villarreal a 56% favorite over Thomas Paull in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1570 vs 1570), separated by just 0 points.

Armando Villarreal finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Thomas Paull 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.