Armands Gruznovs vs Simone Patrizi
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-1-0Record7-6-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
TBDHeight5'8"
TBDReach-
162 lbsWeight155 lbs
Iron Fight ClubTeamAurora MMA· 1563 avg Elo · 15 rated
What's at stake
Armands Gruznovs is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Simone Patrizi carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1589
If they lose-28→ 1541
If they win+19→ 1533
If they lose-13→ 1501
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1474 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Armands GruznovsSimone Patrizi
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Armands Gruznovs55%
Simone Patrizi 45%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Armands Gruznovs a 55% favorite over Simone Patrizi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Armands Gruznovs holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1569 to 1514, a 55-point edge.
Armands Gruznovs enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Simone Patrizi enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Armands Gruznovs finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Simone Patrizi 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.