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Combat Edge Intelligence

Arnaud Prigent vs Connor Matthews

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

4-1-0Record7-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
TBDHeight5'8"
TBDReach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
NR Fight· 1577 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamLakeville MMA & Fitness

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Arnaud PrigentNow 1562
If they win+24→ 1586
If they lose-24→ 1538
Connor MatthewsNow 1561
If they win+16→ 1577
If they lose-16→ 1545

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1474 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
5.08
Not available
Strike accuracy
43%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.25
Not available
Strike defense
56%
Not available
Takedown avg.
3.46
Not available
Takedown accuracy
56%
Not available
Takedown defense
50%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.69

Trajectory

Arnaud PrigentConnor Matthews
155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (25%)
KO/TKO
1 (14%)
2 (50%)
Submission
5 (71%)
1 (25%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Arnaud Prigent54%
Connor Matthews 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Arnaud Prigent a 54% favorite over Connor Matthews in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1562 vs 1561), separated by just 1 points.

Connor Matthews enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Arnaud Prigent finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Connor Matthews 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.