Aron Franz Kristjansson vs Chris Avila
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-1-0Record8-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
TBDHeight5'10"
-Reach39,0"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1524
If they lose-24→ 1476
If they win+16→ 1511
If they lose-16→ 1479
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1515 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Aron Franz KristjanssonChris Avila
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Chris Avila53%
Aron Franz Kristjansson 47%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Chris Avila a 53% favorite over Aron Franz Kristjansson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Aron Franz Kristjansson's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1500 vs 1495), separated by just 5 points.
Chris Avila 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.