Aron Franz Kristjansson vs Chris Manuel
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-1-0Record9-7-2
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
TBDHeight5'6"
-ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight143 lbs
MjolnirTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1524
If they lose-24→ 1476
If they win+16→ 1514
If they lose-16→ 1482
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1516 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aron Franz KristjanssonChris Manuel
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aron Franz Kristjansson72%
Chris Manuel 28%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Aron Franz Kristjansson a 72% favorite over Chris Manuel in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1500 vs 1498), separated by just 2 points.
Chris Manuel enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Chris Manuel 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.