Aron Franz Kristjansson vs Jacob Pais
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-1-0Record1-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
TBDHeight5'11"
-Reach73"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1524
If they lose-24→ 1476
If they win+24→ 1527
If they lose-24→ 1479
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1516 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aron Franz KristjanssonJacob Pais
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jacob Pais51%
Aron Franz Kristjansson 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jacob Pais a 51% favorite over Aron Franz Kristjansson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1500 vs 1503), separated by just 3 points.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.