Combat Edge Intelligence

Aron Franz Kristjansson vs Kevin Roddy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kevin Roddy
us

Kevin Roddy

“K-Rod”

15-16-1FeatherweightBFC

1495Average

Tale of the tape

1-1-0Record15-16-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
TBDHeight5'11"
-ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
MjolnirTeamPellegrino MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aron Franz KristjanssonNow 1500
If they win+24→ 1524
If they lose-24→ 1476
Kevin RoddyNow 1495
If they win+12→ 1507
If they lose-12→ 1483

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1516 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Aron Franz KristjanssonKevin Roddy
15002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (100%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
12 (80%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Aron Franz Kristjansson66%
Kevin Roddy 34%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Aron Franz Kristjansson a 66% favorite over Kevin Roddy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1500 vs 1495), separated by just 5 points.

Kevin Roddy 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.