Combat Edge Intelligence

Aron Franz Kristjansson vs Lorenzo de Nigris

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

1-1-0Record2-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
TBDHeight5'7"
-Reach-
145 lbsWeight146 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Aron Franz KristjanssonNow 1500
If they win+24→ 1524
If they lose-24→ 1476
Lorenzo de NigrisNow 1501
If they win+24→ 1525
If they lose-24→ 1477

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1516 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Aron Franz KristjanssonLorenzo de Nigris
150015502026

Win method breakdown

1 (100%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (100%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Aron Franz Kristjansson and Lorenzo de Nigris within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1500 vs 1501), separated by just 1 points.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.