Aron Franz Kristjansson vs Zak Flessas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-1-0Record3-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
TBDHeight5'10"
-Reach70"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1524
If they lose-24→ 1476
If they win+24→ 1524
If they lose-24→ 1476
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1516 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Aron Franz KristjanssonZak Flessas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aron Franz Kristjansson56%
Zak Flessas 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Aron Franz Kristjansson a 56% favorite over Zak Flessas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1500 vs 1500), separated by just 0 points.
Zak Flessas 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.