Combat Edge Intelligence

Artem Frolov vs Daniel Kelly

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

21-7-0Record13-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'0"
70" Reach70,5"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
KuznyaTeamResilience Training Centre

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Artem FrolovNow 1705
If they win+12→ 1717
If they lose-12→ 1693
Daniel KellyNow 1701
If they win+16→ 1717
If they lose-16→ 1685

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1638 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.62
TBD
Strike accuracy
39%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.64
TBD
Strike defense
62%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.86
TBD
Takedown accuracy
34%
TBD
Takedown defense
79%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.31

Trajectory

Artem FrolovDaniel Kelly
16501700175020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (57%)
KO/TKO
3 (23%)
5 (24%)
Submission
5 (38%)
4 (19%)
Decision
5 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Artem Frolov70%
Daniel Kelly 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Artem Frolov a 70% favorite over Daniel Kelly in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1705 vs 1701), separated by just 4 points.

Daniel Kelly enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Artem Frolov finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Daniel Kelly 62%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.