Combat Edge Intelligence

Artem Frolov vs Donte Johnson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-7-0Record9-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'10"Height5'8"
70" Reach74"
186 lbsWeight209 lbs
KuznyaTeamTitletown MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Artem FrolovNow 1705
If they win+12→ 1717
If they lose-12→ 1693
Donte JohnsonNow 1707
If they win+24→ 1731
If they lose-24→ 1683

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1638 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.11
TBD
Strike accuracy
48%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2
TBD
Strike defense
62%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2
TBD
Takedown accuracy
100%
TBD
Takedown defense
75%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.67

Trajectory

Artem FrolovDonte Johnson
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (57%)
KO/TKO
7 (78%)
5 (24%)
Submission
1 (11%)
4 (19%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Donte Johnson76%
Artem Frolov 24%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Donte Johnson a 76% favorite over Artem Frolov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1705 vs 1707), separated by just 2 points.

Donte Johnson enters on a 9-fight win streak.

Artem Frolov finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Donte Johnson 89%.

Donte Johnson carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.