Combat Edge Intelligence

Artem Frolov vs Hector Lombard

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-7-0Record34-11-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height5'9"
70" Reach71.00
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
KuznyaTeamUFD Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Artem FrolovNow 1705
If they win+12→ 1717
If they lose-12→ 1693
Hector LombardNow 1704
If they win+12→ 1716
If they lose-12→ 1692

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1638 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1703 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.02
TBD
Strike accuracy
46%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.35
TBD
Strike defense
53%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.69
TBD
Takedown accuracy
49%
TBD
Takedown defense
77%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.47

Trajectory

Artem FrolovHector Lombard
16501700175018002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (57%)
KO/TKO
22 (65%)
5 (24%)
Submission
4 (12%)
4 (19%)
Decision
8 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Artem Frolov70%
Hector Lombard 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Artem Frolov a 70% favorite over Hector Lombard in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1705 vs 1704), separated by just 1 points.

Hector Lombard enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Artem Frolov finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Hector Lombard 76%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.