Combat Edge Intelligence

Artem Frolov vs Joe Riggs

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Joe Riggs
us

Joe Riggs

“Diesel”

49-18-1WelterweightROC

1704Good

Tale of the tape

21-7-0Record49-18-1
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
70" Reach37,0"
186 lbsWeight170 lbs
KuznyaTeamSoul Fighters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Artem FrolovNow 1705
If they win+12→ 1717
If they lose-12→ 1693
Joe RiggsNow 1704
If they win+12→ 1716
If they lose-12→ 1692

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1638 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.41
TBD
Strike accuracy
51%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.69
TBD
Strike defense
57%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.45
TBD
Takedown accuracy
55%
TBD
Takedown defense
63%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.58

Trajectory

Artem FrolovJoe Riggs
165017002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (57%)
KO/TKO
37 (77%)
5 (24%)
Submission
7 (15%)
4 (19%)
Decision
4 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Artem Frolov72%
Joe Riggs 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Artem Frolov a 72% favorite over Joe Riggs in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1705 vs 1704), separated by just 1 points.

Joe Riggs enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Artem Frolov finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Joe Riggs 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.