Combat Edge Intelligence

Artem Frolov vs Johny Hendricks

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-7-0Record18-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height5'9"
70" Reach69,0"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
KuznyaTeamTeam Takedown

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Artem FrolovNow 1705
If they win+12→ 1717
If they lose-12→ 1693
Johny HendricksNow 1705
If they win+12→ 1717
If they lose-12→ 1693

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1638 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1723 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.49
TBD
Strike accuracy
46%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.99
TBD
Strike defense
53%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.83
TBD
Takedown accuracy
47%
TBD
Takedown defense
64%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.33

Trajectory

Artem FrolovJohny Hendricks
1650170017501800201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (57%)
KO/TKO
8 (44%)
5 (24%)
Submission
1 (6%)
4 (19%)
Decision
9 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Artem Frolov70%
Johny Hendricks 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Artem Frolov a 70% favorite over Johny Hendricks in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1705 vs 1705), separated by just 0 points.

Johny Hendricks enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Artem Frolov finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Johny Hendricks 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.