Combat Edge Intelligence

Artem Frolov vs Joilton Lutterbach

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

21-7-0Record38-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'0"
70" ReachTBD
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
KuznyaTeamTeam Peregrino

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Artem FrolovNow 1705
If they win+12→ 1717
If they lose-12→ 1693
Joilton LutterbachNow 1702
If they win+12→ 1714
If they lose-12→ 1690

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1638 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Artem FrolovJoilton Lutterbach
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (57%)
KO/TKO
14 (37%)
5 (24%)
Submission
13 (34%)
4 (19%)
Decision
11 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Artem Frolov62%
Joilton Lutterbach 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Artem Frolov a 62% favorite over Joilton Lutterbach in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1705 vs 1702), separated by just 3 points.

Artem Frolov finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Joilton Lutterbach 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.