Artur Astakhov vs Mirza Hopovac
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-12-0Record4-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
205 lbsWeight204 lbs
Raty Team· 1671 avg Elo · 14 ratedTeam613 Fight Factory· 1600 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1619
If they lose-12→ 1595
If they win+24→ 1630
If they lose-24→ 1582
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Artur AstakhovMirza Hopovac
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Artur Astakhov57%
Mirza Hopovac 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Artur Astakhov a 57% favorite over Mirza Hopovac in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1607 vs 1606), separated by just 1 points.
Artur Astakhov enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Mirza Hopovac enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Artur Astakhov finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Mirza Hopovac 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.