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Combat Edge Intelligence

Artur Astakhov vs Todd Brown

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Todd Brown
us

Todd Brown

“Bulldog”

16-4-0MiddleweightMFL

1606Solid

Tale of the tape

22-12-0Record16-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
Raty Team· 1671 avg Elo · 14 ratedTeamBulldog Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Artur AstakhovNow 1607
If they win+12→ 1619
If they lose-12→ 1595
Todd BrownNow 1606
If they win+16→ 1622
If they lose-16→ 1590

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.15
Not available
Strike accuracy
45%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.85
Not available
Strike defense
49%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
50%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Artur AstakhovTodd Brown
160016502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (55%)
KO/TKO
7 (44%)
5 (23%)
Submission
6 (38%)
5 (23%)
Decision
3 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

Artur Astakhov68%
Todd Brown 32%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Artur Astakhov a 68% favorite over Todd Brown in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1607 vs 1606), separated by just 1 points.

Artur Astakhov enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Artur Astakhov finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Todd Brown 81%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.