Combat Edge Intelligence

Asaël Adjoudj vs Chad Mendes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Chad Mendes
us

Chad Mendes

“Money”

18-5-0FeatherweightUFC

1707Good

Tale of the tape

11-1-0Record18-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'6"
72"Reach66"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Asaël AdjoudjNow 1707
If they win+16→ 1723
If they lose-16→ 1691
Chad MendesNow 1707
If they win+16→ 1723
If they lose-16→ 1691

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1533 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1724 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.78
TBD
Strike accuracy
50%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.35
TBD
Strike defense
67%
TBD
Takedown avg.
4.13
TBD
Takedown accuracy
56%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.28

Trajectory

Asaël AdjoudjChad Mendes
1650170020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
8 (44%)
2 (18%)
Submission
2 (11%)
5 (45%)
Decision
8 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Asaël Adjoudj71%
Chad Mendes 29%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Asaël Adjoudj a 71% favorite over Chad Mendes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1707 vs 1707), separated by just 0 points.

Asaël Adjoudj enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Asaël Adjoudj finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Chad Mendes 56%.

Asaël Adjoudj carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.