Combat Edge Intelligence

Asaf Chopurov vs Said Nurmagomedov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-0-0Record18-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
-Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Sambo 34TeamFight Club Akhmat· 1683 avg Elo · 20 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Asaf ChopurovNow 1725
If they win+16→ 1741
If they lose-16→ 1709
Said NurmagomedovNow 1727
If they win+16→ 1743
If they lose-16→ 1711

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1526 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1692 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.08
TBD
Strike accuracy
49%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.05
TBD
Strike defense
56%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.86
TBD
Takedown accuracy
15%
TBD
Takedown defense
63%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.15

Trajectory

Asaf ChopurovSaid Nurmagomedov
160017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
4 (22%)
5 (45%)
Submission
6 (33%)
1 (9%)
Decision
8 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Said Nurmagomedov63%
Asaf Chopurov 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Said Nurmagomedov a 63% favorite over Asaf Chopurov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1725 vs 1727), separated by just 2 points.

Asaf Chopurov enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Said Nurmagomedov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Asaf Chopurov finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Said Nurmagomedov 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.